HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Carolina St. · #356 · MEAC · 1–0Northern Kentucky · #217 · Horz · 0–0Fri, Dec 11 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Truist Arena · Highland Heights, KY
Model line
Northern Kentucky −15.4
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 95%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
5%Win probability95%

The model makes Northern Kentucky a 15.4-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Carolina St. offense vs Northern Kentucky defense

South Carolina St. OStatNorthern Kentucky D
70.3#82Tempo#5870.9
46.8#341eFG%#30454.2
20.8#356TOV%#6718.6
31.4#145ORB%#23331.6
41.1#48FT rate#24537.2
9.6#202Block%#1529.8
52.6#177Assist%#18852.6
44.8#3572P%#26953.8
34.0#1743P%#33436.6
66.8#345FT%—
33.3#3113PA rate#22938.1

Northern Kentucky offense vs South Carolina St. defense

Northern Kentucky OStatSouth Carolina St. D
70.9#58Tempo#8270.3
53.2#95eFG%#29753.9
16.3#156TOV%#5818.8
32.2#118ORB%#36237.6
35.9#157FT rate#36451.9
7.7#40Block%#7511.3
55.5#101Assist%#31657.9
55.5#502P%#33656.3
33.6#1923P%#15633.5
72.1#206FT%—
44.9#713PA rate#20538.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Carolina St.

Mon, Nov 2HMorrisW 94–55
Fri, Mar 13NHoward164L 61–78
Thu, Mar 12NNorfolk St.297W 88–82
Thu, Mar 5ANorth Carolina Central357W 80–64
Mon, Mar 2ADelaware St.361W 61–59

Northern Kentucky

Mon, Mar 9NWright St.150L 90–103
Sun, Mar 8NGreen Bay210W 96–76
Wed, Mar 4AOakland208W 85–84
Sat, Feb 28HWright St.150L 91–92
Wed, Feb 25ACleveland St.284W 81–70