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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Carolina St. · #356 · MEAC · 1–0The Citadel · #325 · SC · 0–0Fri, Nov 20 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+McAlister Field House · Charleston, SC
Model line
The Citadel −10.0
Win probability
The Citadel 85%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes The Citadel a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Carolina St. offense vs The Citadel defense

South Carolina St. OStatThe Citadel D
70.3#82Tempo#33464.8
46.8#341eFG%#36157.5
20.8#356TOV%#31114.7
31.4#145ORB%#22831.5
41.1#48FT rate#13533.3
9.6#202Block%#2737.8
52.6#177Assist%#17552.2
44.8#3572P%#36359.6
34.0#1743P%#33536.6
66.8#345FT%—
33.3#3113PA rate#4444.1

The Citadel offense vs South Carolina St. defense

The Citadel OStatSouth Carolina St. D
64.8#334Tempo#8270.3
49.5#269eFG%#29753.9
16.3#157TOV%#5818.8
27.9#272ORB%#36237.6
30.0#312FT rate#36451.9
10.7#288Block%#7511.3
50.6#231Assist%#31657.9
51.0#2142P%#33656.3
32.0#2823P%#15633.5
66.5#349FT%—
47.8#273PA rate#20538.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Carolina St.

Mon, Nov 2HMorrisW 94–55
Fri, Mar 13NHoward164L 61–78
Thu, Mar 12NNorfolk St.297W 88–82
Thu, Mar 5ANorth Carolina Central357W 80–64
Mon, Mar 2ADelaware St.361W 61–59

The Citadel

Sat, Mar 7NEast Tennessee St.175L 76–83
Fri, Mar 6NChattanooga274W 88–85
Sat, Feb 28AWofford276W 93–90
Wed, Feb 25AFurman147L 51–72
Sat, Feb 21HChattanooga274L 72–93