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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Norfolk St. · #297 · MEAC · 0–0North Carolina Central · #357 · MEAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 5:00 PM ETMcDougald-McLendon Arena · Durham, NC
Model line
North Carolina Central −2.3
Win probability
North Carolina Central 59%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
North Carolina Central home
41%Win probability59%

The model makes North Carolina Central a 2.3-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Norfolk St. offense vs North Carolina Central defense

Norfolk St. OStatNorth Carolina Central D
69.1#144Tempo#25766.7
49.3#279eFG%#31654.5
18.7#310TOV%#2619.9
32.5#106ORB%#36439.4
43.5#15FT rate#23336.9
10.8#290Block%#13710.0
45.9#319Assist%#32258.2
48.4#3002P%#29654.5
34.2#1633P%#32136.4
68.1#323FT%—
30.6#3473PA rate#14240.6

North Carolina Central offense vs Norfolk St. defense

North Carolina Central OStatNorfolk St. D
66.7#257Tempo#14469.1
47.5#327eFG%#19751.7
18.1#280TOV%#5718.8
30.0#200ORB%#27332.3
39.3#72FT rate#35145.3
12.4#346Block%#2148.7
52.7#172Assist%#32058.1
46.7#3342P%#29154.4
32.6#2513P%#6332.0
73.8#141FT%—
33.9#2983PA rate#10741.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Norfolk St.

Thu, Mar 12NSouth Carolina St.356L 82–88
Thu, Mar 5HHoward164L 76–84
Mon, Mar 2AMorgan St.354L 84–90
Sat, Feb 28ACoppin St.362W 75–69
Sat, Feb 21HSouth Carolina St.356W 90–71

North Carolina Central

Sat, Mar 14NHoward164L 63–70
Fri, Mar 13NDelaware St.361W 59–53
Thu, Mar 12NMaryland Eastern Shore364W 83–76
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Carolina St.356L 64–80
Mon, Mar 2AMaryland Eastern Shore364W 77–73