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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Carolina Central · #357 · MEAC · 0–0Norfolk St. · #297 · MEAC · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 4:30 PM ETJoseph G. Echols Hall · Norfolk, VA
Model line
Norfolk St. −12.0
Win probability
Norfolk St. 90%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Norfolk St. home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes Norfolk St. a 12.0-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Carolina Central offense vs Norfolk St. defense

North Carolina Central OStatNorfolk St. D
66.7#257Tempo#14469.1
47.5#327eFG%#19751.7
18.1#280TOV%#5718.8
30.0#200ORB%#27332.3
39.3#72FT rate#35145.3
12.4#346Block%#2148.7
52.7#172Assist%#32058.1
46.7#3342P%#29154.4
32.6#2513P%#6332.0
73.8#141FT%—
33.9#2983PA rate#10741.6

Norfolk St. offense vs North Carolina Central defense

Norfolk St. OStatNorth Carolina Central D
69.1#144Tempo#25766.7
49.3#279eFG%#31654.5
18.7#310TOV%#2619.9
32.5#106ORB%#36439.4
43.5#15FT rate#23336.9
10.8#290Block%#13710.0
45.9#319Assist%#32258.2
48.4#3002P%#29654.5
34.2#1633P%#32136.4
68.1#323FT%—
30.6#3473PA rate#14240.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Carolina Central

Sat, Mar 14NHoward164L 63–70
Fri, Mar 13NDelaware St.361W 59–53
Thu, Mar 12NMaryland Eastern Shore364W 83–76
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Carolina St.356L 64–80
Mon, Mar 2AMaryland Eastern Shore364W 77–73

Norfolk St.

Thu, Mar 12NSouth Carolina St.356L 82–88
Thu, Mar 5HHoward164L 76–84
Mon, Mar 2AMorgan St.354L 84–90
Sat, Feb 28ACoppin St.362W 75–69
Sat, Feb 21HSouth Carolina St.356W 90–71