Model line
Washington −23.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Washington 99%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Washington home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Washington a 23.0-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Norfolk St. offense vs Washington defense
| Norfolk St. O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#144 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 49.3#279 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 18.7#310 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 32.5#106 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 43.5#15 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 10.8#290 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 45.9#319 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 48.4#300 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 34.2#163 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 68.1#323 | FT% | — |
| 30.6#347 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs Norfolk St. defense
| Washington O | Stat | Norfolk St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #14469.1 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #19751.7 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #5718.8 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #27332.3 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #35145.3 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #2148.7 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #32058.1 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #29154.4 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #6332.0 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #10741.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Norfolk St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | South Carolina St.356 | L 82–88 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Howard164 | L 76–84 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Morgan St.354 | L 84–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Coppin St.362 | W 75–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–71 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
