Model line
UNC Wilmington −6.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 75%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Norfolk St. home
75%Win probability25%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs Norfolk St. defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Norfolk St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #14469.1 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #19751.7 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #5718.8 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #27332.3 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #35145.3 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2148.7 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #32058.1 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #29154.4 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #6332.0 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #10741.6 |
Norfolk St. offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Norfolk St. O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#144 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 49.3#279 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 18.7#310 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 32.5#106 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 43.5#15 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 10.8#290 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 45.9#319 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 48.4#300 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 34.2#163 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 68.1#323 | FT% | — |
| 30.6#347 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
Norfolk St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | South Carolina St.356 | L 82–88 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Howard164 | L 76–84 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Morgan St.354 | L 84–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Coppin St.362 | W 75–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–71 |
