Model line
Northern Colorado −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Colorado 61%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Northern Colorado a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Northern Colorado offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
