Model line
Montana St. −18.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana St. 98%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Montana St. home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Montana St. a 18.8-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota offense vs Montana St. defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Montana St. offense vs North Dakota defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
