Model line
San Diego St. −12.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego St. 91%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes San Diego St. a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs San Diego St. defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
San Diego St. offense vs Montana St. defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
