Model line
Montana St. −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana St. 56%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
South Dakota home
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Montana St. a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs South Dakota defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
South Dakota offense vs Montana St. defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
