Model line
Gonzaga −26.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Gonzaga a 26.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Montana St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
