Model line
Tulsa −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 66%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Tulsa a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tulsa offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Tulsa defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
