Model line
Mississippi St. −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 66%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Tulsa defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Tulsa offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
