Model line
North Texas −31.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
North Texas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes North Texas a 31.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs North Texas defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
North Texas offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
