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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Dakota St. · #170 · Sum · 0–0Boise St. · #71 · P12 · 0–0Sun, Nov 29 · 4:00 PM ETCWMountain America Center · Idaho Falls, ID
Model line
Boise St. −8.9
Win probability
Boise St. 83%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
17%Win probability83%

The model makes Boise St. a 8.9-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Dakota St. offense vs Boise St. defense

North Dakota St. OStatBoise St. D
68.2#193Tempo#26166.6
53.2#94eFG%#25052.7
15.6#113TOV%#31814.5
32.9#92ORB%#323.6
30.6#290FT rate#10732.1
9.3#164Block%#3445.9
53.0#166Assist%#2345.1
53.3#1172P%#24553.3
35.4#963P%#20834.4
71.4#227FT%—
42.8#1193PA rate#26636.8

Boise St. offense vs North Dakota St. defense

Boise St. OStatNorth Dakota St. D
66.6#261Tempo#19368.2
52.2#134eFG%#21252.0
16.9#190TOV%#6518.7
33.2#85ORB%#1425.5
42.7#22FT rate#4729.2
9.8#217Block%#2078.8
49.5#255Assist%#28556.1
52.7#1392P%#24053.0
34.3#1553P%#17733.9
78.7#9FT%—
43.1#1073PA rate#4244.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Dakota St.

Thu, Mar 19NMichigan St.9L 67–92
Sun, Mar 8NNorth Dakota328W 70–62
Sat, Mar 7NNebraska Omaha280W 74–50
Thu, Mar 5NOral Roberts261W 76–65
Sat, Feb 28HNorth Dakota328W 96–63

Boise St.

Wed, Mar 11NSan Jose St.161L 74–84
Sat, Mar 7AColorado St.83W 78–67
Tue, Mar 3HSan Diego St.73W 86–77
Sat, Feb 28AFresno St.180W 69–53
Tue, Feb 24HWyoming117W 72–62