Model line
North Texas −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas 62%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
38%Win probability62%
The model makes North Texas a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Drake offense vs North Texas defense
| Drake O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
North Texas offense vs Drake defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
