Model line
North Texas −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas 68%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
32%Win probability68%
The model makes North Texas a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs North Texas defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
North Texas offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| North Texas O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
