Model line
North Texas −14.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas 93%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
North Texas home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes North Texas a 14.2-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs North Texas defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
North Texas offense vs South Alabama defense
| North Texas O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
