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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee Martin · #302 · OVC · 0–1Davidson · #104 · A10 · 1–0Tue, Dec 22 · 2:00 PM ETESPN+John M. Belk Arena · Davidson, NC
Model line
Davidson −18.4
Win probability
Davidson 97%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Davidson home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes Davidson a 18.4-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee Martin offense vs Davidson defense

Tennessee Martin OStatDavidson D
68.2#179Tempo#20566.5
59.8#41eFG%#2539.0
18.8#136TOV%#20213.5
28.6#148ORB%#14432.6
47.0#56FT rate#1716.2
7.1#86Block%#1656.8
58.1#87Assist%#6345.8
50.0#1382P%#5343.2
44.7#273P%#2920.8
61.3#179FT%—
57.6#193PA rate#18435.3

Davidson offense vs Tennessee Martin defense

Davidson OStatTennessee Martin D
66.5#205Tempo#17968.2
66.0#16eFG%#13151.5
21.1#170TOV%#23210.6
25.0#179ORB%#8827.5
22.6#197FT rate#23769.7
3.3#39Block%#10410.4
62.1#66Assist%#829.0
56.7#872P%#13252.1
52.2#73P%#13833.3
50.0#226FT%—
43.4#983PA rate#22727.3

Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee Martin

Mon, Nov 2ATulane171L 98–100
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee St.244L 55–68
Thu, Mar 5NEastern Illinois361W 66–63
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee St.244L 42–67
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee Tech236W 64–49

Davidson

Mon, Nov 2AWashington St.164W 76–61
Tue, Mar 17AOklahoma St.49L 80–84
Fri, Mar 13NSaint Joseph's124L 58–70
Thu, Mar 12NLoyola Chicago125W 64–59
Sat, Mar 7ASt. Bonaventure193W 68–63