Model line
Michigan St. −34.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan St. a 34.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oakland offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Oakland O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#50 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 52.7#115 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 14.7#51 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 31.3#152 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 38.1#99 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 11.7#332 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 54.9#118 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 53.0#130 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 34.7#140 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 75.1#78 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#296 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Oakland defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Oakland D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #5071.1 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #32254.7 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #28015.1 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #32434.4 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #524.6 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1539.8 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #36266.3 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #34257.0 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #20434.3 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #10541.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oakland
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Northern Kentucky217 | L 84–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Detroit Mercy277 | L 89–95 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | IU Indy311 | W 86–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 81–70 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Green Bay210 | L 68–73 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
