Model line
Michigan St. −28.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan St. a 28.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Drake offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Drake O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Drake defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
