Model line
Michigan St. −36.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan St. a 36.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Detroit Mercy offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
