Model line
Michigan St. −25.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. >99%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan St. a 25.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
