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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Arkansas Pine BluffatMississippi Valley St.

Arkansas Pine Bluff · #360 · SWAC · 0–0Mississippi Valley St. · #365 · SWAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 12:00 AM ETR.W. Harrison HPER Complex · Itta Bena, MS

Model line

Mississippi Valley St. −2.1

Win probability

Mississippi Valley St. 59%

Projected tempo

71.4

possessions

Site

Mississippi Valley St. home

41%Win probability59%

The model makes Mississippi Valley St. a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

RawOpponent adjusted

Arkansas Pine Bluff offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense

Arkansas Pine Bluff O	Stat	Mississippi Valley St. D
71.2#43	Tempo	#10369.7
50.0#232	eFG%	#34155.5
18.7#308	TOV%	#14317.1
27.9#270	ORB%	#34735.5
38.4#91	FT rate	#36250.8
8.7#117	Block%	#2637.9
56.3#83	Assist%	#33359.5
49.8#260	2P%	#31455.3
33.6#189	3P%	#34637.2
75.5#64	FT%	—
37.2#226	3PA rate	#8442.5

Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Arkansas Pine Bluff defense

Mississippi Valley St. O	Stat	Arkansas Pine Bluff D
69.7#103	Tempo	#4371.2
45.2#359	eFG%	#24352.6
21.9#362	TOV%	#18316.5
26.4#313	ORB%	#32034.2
33.9#212	FT rate	#34243.6
9.0#146	Block%	#2667.8
52.9#167	Assist%	#21953.8
45.6#352	2P%	#28854.4
29.5#346	3P%	#13333.2
71.6#218	FT%	—
30.2#351	3PA rate	#25737.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Thu, Mar 12	N	Southern293	L 81–84
Thu, Mar 5	A	Alcorn St.340	W 83–48
Tue, Mar 3	A	Jackson St.314	L 78–81
Sat, Feb 28	H	Mississippi Valley St.365	L 69–70
Sat, Feb 21	H	Prairie View A&M301	W 84–82

Mississippi Valley St.

Mon, Mar 9	N	Grambling St.326	L 52–77
Thu, Mar 5	A	Jackson St.314	L 77–85
Tue, Mar 3	A	Alcorn St.340	L 64–67
Sat, Feb 28	A	Arkansas Pine Bluff360	W 70–69
Mon, Feb 23	A	Grambling St.326	L 62–83