Model line
Southern −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern 63%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Mississippi Valley St. home
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Southern a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Southern O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Southern defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
