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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Grambling St. · #326 · SWAC · 1–0Mississippi Valley St. · #365 · SWAC · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 12:00 AM ETR.W. Harrison HPER Complex · Itta Bena, MS
Model line
Grambling St. −0.7
Win probability
Grambling St. 53%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Mississippi Valley St. home
53%Win probability47%

The model makes Grambling St. a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Grambling St. offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense

Grambling St. OStatMississippi Valley St. D
69.4#120Tempo#10369.7
48.8#295eFG%#34155.5
21.2#357TOV%#14317.1
30.3#188ORB%#34735.5
41.1#47FT rate#36250.8
13.1#356Block%#2637.9
51.6#199Assist%#33359.5
48.9#2852P%#31455.3
32.3#2653P%#34637.2
72.9#172FT%—
38.1#2103PA rate#8442.5

Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Grambling St. defense

Mississippi Valley St. OStatGrambling St. D
69.7#103Tempo#12069.4
45.2#359eFG%#9650.0
21.9#362TOV%#1220.8
26.4#313ORB%#28232.5
33.9#212FT rate#30140.0
9.0#146Block%#2907.5
52.9#167Assist%#18652.6
45.6#3522P%#11850.5
29.5#3463P%#9732.7
71.6#218FT%—
30.2#3513PA rate#31235.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Grambling St.

Mon, Nov 2NNorthern Illinois278W 89–87
Tue, Mar 10NJackson St.314L 65–68
Mon, Mar 9NMississippi Valley St.365W 77–52
Thu, Mar 5AAlabama St.295W 65–63
Tue, Mar 3AAlabama A&M313L 63–77

Mississippi Valley St.

Mon, Mar 9NGrambling St.326L 52–77
Thu, Mar 5AJackson St.314L 77–85
Tue, Mar 3AAlcorn St.340L 64–67
Sat, Feb 28AArkansas Pine Bluff360W 70–69
Mon, Feb 23AGrambling St.326L 62–83