Model line
Arkansas −40.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas >99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arkansas a 40.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Arkansas defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
