Model line
Oregon St. −34.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oregon St. a 34.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Oregon St. offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
