Model line
Oregon −39.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Oregon home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oregon a 39.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Oregon defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
