Model line
Michigan −34.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Michigan home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan a 34.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Detroit Mercy offense vs Michigan defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
