Model line
Michigan −40.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Michigan home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan a 40.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Michigan defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
