Model line
Houston −24.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 99%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Houston home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Houston a 24.0-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs Houston defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs Texas St. defense
| Houston O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
