Model line
Southern −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern 85%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Southern home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Southern a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alcorn St. offense vs Southern defense
| Alcorn St. O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#113 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 47.7#320 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 19.6#339 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 26.9#298 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 31.8#258 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 11.1#306 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 46.6#308 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 46.5#340 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 33.3#206 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 70.8#244 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#302 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Southern offense vs Alcorn St. defense
| Southern O | Stat | Alcorn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #11369.5 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #32955.0 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #9218.1 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #34635.5 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #29239.4 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #1829.1 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #27055.7 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #35158.0 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #11733.0 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #31535.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alcorn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 56–65 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alabama St.295 | W 77–65 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | L 48–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 67–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Prairie View A&M301 | L 51–72 |
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
