Model line
Texas St. −16.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 96%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Texas St. a 16.2-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alcorn St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Alcorn St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#113 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 47.7#320 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 19.6#339 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 26.9#298 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 31.8#258 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 11.1#306 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 46.6#308 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 46.5#340 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 33.3#206 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 70.8#244 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#302 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Alcorn St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Alcorn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #11369.5 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #32955.0 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #9218.1 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #34635.5 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #29239.4 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #1829.1 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #27055.7 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #35158.0 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #11733.0 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #31535.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alcorn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 56–65 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alabama St.295 | W 77–65 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | L 48–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 67–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Prairie View A&M301 | L 51–72 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
