Model line
Tarleton St. −16.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 96%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 16.3-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alcorn St. offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Alcorn St. O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#113 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 47.7#320 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 19.6#339 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 26.9#298 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 31.8#258 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 11.1#306 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 46.6#308 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 46.5#340 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 33.3#206 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 70.8#244 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#302 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs Alcorn St. defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Alcorn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #11369.5 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #32955.0 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #9218.1 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #34635.5 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #29239.4 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #1829.1 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #27055.7 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #35158.0 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #11733.0 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #31535.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alcorn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 56–65 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alabama St.295 | W 77–65 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | L 48–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 67–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Prairie View A&M301 | L 51–72 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
