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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Alabama St. · #295 · SWAC · 0–0Grambling St. · #326 · SWAC · 1–0Thu, Mar 4 · 12:00 AM ETFredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · Grambling, LA
Model line
Grambling St. −4.3
Win probability
Grambling St. 67%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Grambling St. home
33%Win probability67%

The model makes Grambling St. a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Alabama St. offense vs Grambling St. defense

Alabama St. OStatGrambling St. D
71.3#38Tempo#12069.4
47.1#333eFG%#9650.0
18.3#286TOV%#1220.8
31.9#126ORB%#28232.5
34.9#183FT rate#30140.0
11.0#299Block%#2907.5
47.6#293Assist%#18652.6
46.8#3332P%#11850.5
31.8#2853P%#9732.7
70.5#253FT%—
38.5#2003PA rate#31235.2

Grambling St. offense vs Alabama St. defense

Grambling St. OStatAlabama St. D
69.4#120Tempo#3871.3
48.8#295eFG%#22252.2
21.2#357TOV%#6018.7
30.3#188ORB%#22631.5
41.1#47FT rate#32742.3
13.1#356Block%#8811.0
51.6#199Assist%#25355.0
48.9#2852P%#22752.8
32.3#2653P%#19334.2
72.9#172FT%—
38.1#2103PA rate#14640.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Alabama St.

Mon, Mar 9NAlcorn St.340L 65–77
Thu, Mar 5HGrambling St.326L 63–65
Tue, Mar 3HSouthern293L 64–71
Sat, Feb 28AAlabama A&M313W 89–88
Sat, Feb 21AFlorida A&M317L 63–76

Grambling St.

Mon, Nov 2NNorthern Illinois278W 89–87
Tue, Mar 10NJackson St.314L 65–68
Mon, Mar 9NMississippi Valley St.365W 77–52
Thu, Mar 5AAlabama St.295W 65–63
Tue, Mar 3AAlabama A&M313L 63–77