Model line
Alabama St. −8.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama St. 81%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Alabama St. home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Alabama St. a 8.4-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grambling St. offense vs Alabama St. defense
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Alabama St. offense vs Grambling St. defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grambling St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
