Model line
Alabama St. −15.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama St. 94%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Alabama St. home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Alabama St. a 15.1-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Alabama St. defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Alabama St. offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
