Model line
Fresno St. −12.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 91%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Fresno St. a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs Alabama St. defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
