Model line
Arkansas −33.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas >99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arkansas a 33.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Arkansas defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#275 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 54.8#49 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 18.5#300 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 28.2#259 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 28.9#332 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.2#258 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 59.9#36 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 54.5#77 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 36.8#35 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 76.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#99 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #27566.5 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #3947.8 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #20416.3 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #26632.1 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #28338.9 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #2757.8 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #32158.1 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #6949.2 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #1930.4 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #22638.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.287 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 63–55 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | McNeese St.99 | L 68–75 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
