Model line
Texas St. −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 61%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
UT Rio Grande Valley home
61%Win probability39%
The model makes Texas St. a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #27566.5 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #3947.8 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #20416.3 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #26632.1 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #28338.9 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2757.8 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #32158.1 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #6949.2 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #1930.4 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #22638.2 |
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Texas St. defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#275 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 54.8#49 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 18.5#300 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 28.2#259 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 28.9#332 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 10.2#258 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 59.9#36 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 54.5#77 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 36.8#35 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 76.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#99 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.287 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 63–55 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | McNeese St.99 | L 68–75 |
