Model line
Texas St. −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 91%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Texas St. a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Corpus Chris offense vs Texas St. defense
| Texas A&M Corpus Chris O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#265 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 49.5#268 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 19.4#336 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 31.7#138 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 41.1#49 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 11.6#329 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 50.7#226 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 48.1#307 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 35.0#122 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 67.4#337 | FT% | — |
| 31.4#334 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Texas A&M Corpus Chris defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Texas A&M Corpus Chris D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #26566.6 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #10750.1 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #5319.0 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #9628.8 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #35346.3 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2797.7 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #9749.3 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #17051.5 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #5131.6 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #32234.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Corpus Chris
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 58–60 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | LSU N Orleans | W 74–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 84–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 71–59 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 73–68 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
