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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas A&M Corpus ChrisatNorthwestern St.
Texas A&M Corpus Chris · #203 · Slnd · 0–0Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 4:30 PM ETPrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA
Model line
Northwestern St. −1.4
Win probability
Northwestern St. 56%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
44%Win probability56%

The model makes Northwestern St. a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas A&M Corpus Chris offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Texas A&M Corpus Chris OStatNorthwestern St. D
66.6#265Tempo#32965.2
49.5#268eFG%#26953.0
19.4#336TOV%#16116.9
31.7#138ORB%#28532.6
41.1#49FT rate#22236.3
11.6#329Block%#3226.7
50.7#226Assist%#16851.9
48.1#3072P%#23452.9
35.0#1223P%#28235.5
67.4#337FT%—
31.4#3343PA rate#24037.9

Northwestern St. offense vs Texas A&M Corpus Chris defense

Northwestern St. OStatTexas A&M Corpus Chris D
65.2#329Tempo#26566.6
48.6#301eFG%#10750.1
18.3#288TOV%#5319.0
26.1#320ORB%#9628.8
40.1#58FT rate#35346.3
9.6#200Block%#2797.7
50.7#225Assist%#9749.3
48.0#3102P%#17051.5
33.2#2173P%#5131.6
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#32234.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

Tue, Mar 10NStephen F. Austin139L 58–60
Mon, Mar 9NLSU N OrleansW 74–61
Mon, Mar 2HTexas A&M Commerce323W 84–71
Sat, Feb 28HNorthwestern St.296W 71–59
Mon, Feb 23ASoutheastern Louisiana269W 73–68

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53