Model line
Stephen F. Austin −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stephen F. Austin 60%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
60%Win probability40%
The model makes Stephen F. Austin a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stephen F. Austin offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Stephen F. Austin O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#288 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 51.7#166 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 14.3#35 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 33.8#74 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 30.1#308 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 10.1#249 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 48.5#277 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 50.4#247 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 35.8#71 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 68.6#308 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#177 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Northwestern St. offense vs Stephen F. Austin defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Stephen F. Austin D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #28866.2 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #3747.7 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #11817.6 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #13429.5 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #8631.1 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #13910.0 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #5647.5 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #6549.0 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #1630.3 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #30535.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stephen F. Austin
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Tulsa104 | L 84–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 59–76 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | W 60–58 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Incarnate Word302 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston Christian253 | W 77–56 |
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
