Model line
UT Rio Grande Valley −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UT Rio Grande Valley 85%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
UT Rio Grande Valley home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes UT Rio Grande Valley a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern St. offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #27566.5 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #3947.8 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #20416.3 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #26632.1 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #28338.9 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #2757.8 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #32158.1 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #6949.2 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #1930.4 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #22638.2 |
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#275 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 54.8#49 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 18.5#300 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 28.2#259 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 28.9#332 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 10.2#258 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 59.9#36 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 54.5#77 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 36.8#35 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 76.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#99 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.287 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 63–55 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | McNeese St.99 | L 68–75 |
