Model line
Northwestern St. −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern St. 62%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Northwestern St. a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Arlington offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| UT Arlington O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#274 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 47.2#332 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 20.7#354 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 34.9#51 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 42.5#24 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 9.5#192 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 46.4#310 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 48.8#289 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 29.1#352 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 72.3#198 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#346 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Northwestern St. offense vs UT Arlington defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | UT Arlington D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #27466.5 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #3047.4 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #9918.0 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #16830.1 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #31240.9 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #1779.3 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #8949.1 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #13450.9 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #126.9 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #35332.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Arlington
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Valley120 | L 65–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern Utah246 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Abilene Christian242 | W 64–57 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Tarleton St.178 | W 65–60 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 56–68 |
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
