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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+CFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −20.2
Win probability
Murray St. 98%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes Murray St. a 20.2-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northwestern St. offense vs Murray St. defense

Northwestern St. OStatMurray St. D
65.2#329Tempo#2072.3
48.6#301eFG%#23552.4
18.3#288TOV%#23215.8
26.1#320ORB%#21531.3
40.1#58FT rate#11132.2
9.6#200Block%#2058.9
50.7#225Assist%#1744.1
48.0#3102P%#17851.7
33.2#2173P%#31436.2
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Murray St. OStatNorthwestern St. D
72.3#20Tempo#32965.2
53.8#73eFG%#26953.0
16.3#155TOV%#16116.9
32.6#101ORB%#28532.6
38.6#88FT rate#22236.3
8.1#67Block%#3226.7
49.1#261Assist%#16851.9
55.0#572P%#23452.9
35.0#1173P%#28235.5
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#24037.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75