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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Nicholls St. · #287 · Slnd · 1–0Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 4:30 PM ETPrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA
Model line
Northwestern St. −5.9
Win probability
Northwestern St. 73%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Northwestern St. a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Nicholls St. offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Nicholls St. OStatNorthwestern St. D
68.3#188Tempo#32965.2
50.6#209eFG%#26953.0
17.4#229TOV%#16116.9
28.1#262ORB%#28532.6
34.5#197FT rate#22236.3
9.9#231Block%#3226.7
52.1#190Assist%#16851.9
51.2#2062P%#23452.9
33.3#2113P%#28235.5
66.2#351FT%—
43.9#923PA rate#24037.9

Northwestern St. offense vs Nicholls St. defense

Northwestern St. OStatNicholls St. D
65.2#329Tempo#18868.3
48.6#301eFG%#31254.4
18.3#288TOV%#1620.5
26.1#320ORB%#31333.7
40.1#58FT rate#25937.9
9.6#200Block%#2498.2
50.7#225Assist%#28856.2
48.0#3102P%#32756.0
33.2#2173P%#22534.6
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#21238.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Nicholls St.

Mon, Nov 2HN AmericanW 110–56
Mon, Mar 9NUT Rio Grande Valley251L 68–86
Sun, Mar 8NNorthwestern St.296W 61–47
Mon, Mar 2HMcNeese St.99L 65–75
Sat, Feb 28HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 68–60

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53