Model line
Texas St. −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 96%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Texas St. a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nicholls St. offense vs Texas St. defense
| Nicholls St. O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#188 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 50.6#209 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 17.4#229 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 28.1#262 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 34.5#197 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.9#231 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 52.1#190 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 51.2#206 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 33.3#211 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 66.2#351 | FT% | — |
| 43.9#92 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs Nicholls St. defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Nicholls St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #18868.3 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #31254.4 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #1620.5 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #31333.7 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #25937.9 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2498.2 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #28856.2 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #32756.0 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #22534.6 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #21238.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nicholls St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | N American | W 110–56 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 68–86 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northwestern St.296 | W 61–47 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | McNeese St.99 | L 65–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 68–60 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
