Model line
Troy −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 77%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
77%Win probability23%
The model makes Troy a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Nicholls St. defense
| Troy O | Stat | Nicholls St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #18868.3 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #31254.4 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #1620.5 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #31333.7 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #25937.9 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #2498.2 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #28856.2 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #32756.0 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #22534.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #21238.7 |
Nicholls St. offense vs Troy defense
| Nicholls St. O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#188 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 50.6#209 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 17.4#229 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 28.1#262 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 34.5#197 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 9.9#231 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 52.1#190 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 51.2#206 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.3#211 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 66.2#351 | FT% | — |
| 43.9#92 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Nicholls St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | N American | W 110–56 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 68–86 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northwestern St.296 | W 61–47 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | McNeese St.99 | L 65–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 68–60 |
